BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 3 Conference: (13-1) Overall: (24-3) Overall Strength =   90.10

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2006 Home    W    90.62  62   41   4A   42 ( 3-19) Waterloo West           3.12     17.88                      
  2 12/02/2006 Home    W   106.02  60   37   3A    8 (11-13) Cedar Rapids Xavier    18.52      4.48                      
  3 12/05/2006 Away    W *  94.08  73   41   3A   53 ( 8-15) Cresco Crestwood        6.58 *   25.42                      
  4 12/09/2006 Away    W    85.44  58   53   3A   15 (18- 9) Grinnell               -2.06      7.06                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    W *  74.03  59   37   3A   61 ( 5-17) New Hampton           -13.47 *   35.47                      
  6 12/19/2006 Away    W *  90.63  64   43   3A   40 (14- 8) Charles City            3.13     17.87                      
  7 01/02/2007 Away    L    91.01  65   66   4A    9 (15- 7) Waterloo East           3.51     -4.51                      
  8 01/06/2007 Away    W   100.97  89   62   3A   32 (10-12) Independence           13.47     13.53                      
  9 01/12/2007 Home    W * 100.83  77   28   3A   58 ( 2-20) Oelwein                13.33 *   35.67                      
 10 01/13/2007 Home    W    75.64  58   54   3A   30 (10-12) Webster City          -11.86     15.86                      
 11 01/16/2007 Home    W *  80.72  56   37   3A   49 ( 5-17) Decorah                -6.78 *   25.78                      
 12 01/19/2007 Away    W *  90.07  65   53   3A   20 (16- 6) Waukon                  2.57      9.43                      
 13 01/26/2007 Home    L *  55.23  50   53   3A   53 ( 8-15) Cresco Crestwood      -32.27 *   29.27                      
 14 01/27/2007 Away    W    77.47  46   42   4A   42 ( 3-19) Waterloo West         -10.03     14.03                      
 15 01/30/2007 Away    W *  92.88  70   33   3A   61 ( 5-17) New Hampton             5.38 *   31.62                      
 16 02/02/2007 Home    W *  83.77  51   33   3A   40 (14- 8) Charles City           -3.73     21.73                      
 17 02/09/2007 Away    W *  80.68  67   42   3A   58 ( 2-20) Oelwein                -6.81 *   31.81                      
 18 02/10/2007 Away    L    80.97  59   66   4A   19 (13-10) Cedar Falls            -6.53     -0.47                      
 19 02/16/2007 Away    W *  76.57  59   48   3A   49 ( 5-17) Decorah               -10.93     21.93                      
 20 02/20/2007 Home    W    72.88  61   54   4A   46 ( 2-19) Cedar Rapids Prairie  -14.62     21.62                      
 21 02/22/2007 Home    W *  98.21  63   39   3A   20 (16- 6) Waukon                 10.71     13.29                      
 22 02/27/2007 Home    W *  83.03  74   43   3A   61 ( 5-17) New Hampton            -4.47 *   35.47                      
 23 03/03/2007 Neutral W *  79.16  75   56   3A   53 ( 8-15) Cresco Crestwood       -8.34 *   27.34                      
 24 03/06/2007 Neutral W    89.96  61   49   3A   16 (15- 9) West Delaware           2.46      9.54                      
 25 03/14/2007 Neutral W    98.73  60   38   3A   18 (17- 7) Pella                  11.23     10.77                      
 26 03/15/2007 Neutral W    95.51  68   51   3A   15 (18- 9) Grinnell                8.01      8.99                      
 27 03/17/2007 Neutral W   117.39  74   51   3A    2 (22- 5) Sioux City Heelan      29.89     -6.89                      
      Averages              87.50  63.9 46.3

Best game:  117.39 = 23 point win over Sioux City Heelan
Worst game:  55.23 = 3 point loss to Cresco Crestwood
Team stdev:  12.49